According to the updated data of WPTC in October 2024, the global tomato processing industry presents the following major trends:

1. The global processing volume has reached a new high, and the demand growth is relatively stable.

Although the global tomato processing volume reached 45.7 million tons in 2024, it still decreased by more than 1.5 million tons compared with the pre-season forecast. This incremental innovation reflects that the global demand for tomato processed products is still strong. However, some major producing countries, such as Italy, Egypt and Iran, failed to meet expectations due to weather and other factors, which also put corresponding pressure on the global supply chain.

2. The weather in the main producing areas has a significant impact, and the fluctuation of output is intensified.

Countries are greatly influenced by different climatic conditions, showing regional output fluctuations. For example, Egypt's output fell by 20% due to the high temperature in summer; In France, rainfall affects the planting progress and causes diseases; The flooding of spring rain in northern Italy affects planting; In Ukraine, the rainfall in September affected the color and processing output. The influence of this seasonal climate factor may continue to intensify, and the influence of climate fluctuation on output will become more and more obvious.

3. Some countries plan to reduce production in 2025 to ease supply pressure.

Due to the increasing output in recent years, the global tomato products market is in a state of oversupply, especially under the pressure of inventory. Spain plans to reduce production in 2025, and China has reached a consensus to reduce the planting area of processed tomatoes, and may control production by reducing the purchase price of tomatoes. These measures are intended to achieve market balance by reducing supply.

4. The layout of production areas in the northern and southern hemispheres is gradually optimized.

Countries in the southern hemisphere, such as Argentina, Australia and Brazil, are playing an increasingly important role in global tomato processing. Argentina and Australia expect that the planting area will be slightly reduced in 2025, while Chile and Peru will maintain a relatively stable production level. The output stability in the southern hemisphere has a certain regulatory effect on the global supply chain.

5. Economic and market demand affect farmers' willingness to plant.

Farmers' willingness to plant tomatoes in major producing countries changes due to price fluctuations. Farmers in Turkey, Iran and other countries tend to reduce planting because of low market prices and poor income. Under the background of high global inventory and relatively weak market demand, the competitive pressure of tomato planting will increase in the future, and farmers' willingness to plant will continue to change under the influence of price and market.

6. Quality and processing efficiency need to be continuously optimized.

Many regions reported that the Brix value (sugar) of tomatoes was low, and diseases and pests affected the quality. For example, the low Brix value in Turkey made the processing face challenges, while the over-ripening in northern Italy led to the low amount of processed products. These problems have exposed the demand of global tomato processing industry in stabilizing quality and improving processing efficiency, and how to optimize production quality and efficiency through science and technology and management means will become the focus in the future.

The global tomato processing industry is facing multiple challenges, such as climate change, imbalance between supply and demand and market price fluctuation. In the future, countries will gradually control production and balance market supply and demand. At the same time, efforts are made in cost control and quality improvement to meet the changing needs of the global market.